System · Track record
Performance.
YTD 2026 · since inception 2025-04-08
Aggregate · YTD 2026 · since inception 2025-04-08
The scoreboard.
- 60-day P&L+₹18.42L22 Feb → 20 Apr
- Hit rate68%214 graded predictions
- Correct / Partial121 / 41
- Max drawdown−6.4%Apr 2026 stand-down
- Deployed35%FLOOR · stand-down mode
Per desk · 8 desks
Who's contributing.
| Desk | Hit rate | Alpha (bps) | Avg confidence | Trades closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro | 74% | +82 | 67% | 34 |
| Financials | 71% | +64 | 68% | 48 |
| Cyclicals | 66% | +41 | 62% | 39 |
| Defensives | 69% | +37 | 65% | 27 |
| Commodities | 62% | +28 | 59% | 22 |
| Options | 58% | +19 | 55% | 61 |
| Risk | 81% | +94 | 71% | 8 |
| Flow | 64% | +22 | 60% | 14 |
Calibration · predicted vs realised
Are we honest about confidence?
"When we said 70% confidence, we were right N% of the time." The closer realised tracks the bucket, the better calibrated.
50%n=38
60%n=52
70%n=64
80%n=41
90%n=19
By regime · 6 buckets
How we perform across the cycle.
| Regime | Days | Return % | Alpha % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Bullish | 18 | +3.8% | +1.1% |
| Bullish | 64 | +4.2% | +0.8% |
| Neutral | 92 | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| Cautious | 46 | +0.6% | +0.6% |
| Bearish | 21 | -1.4% | +1.8% |
| Strong Bearish | 12 | -2.1% | +2.4% |